UNC Wilmington at Wake Forest: Matchup

Thursday Nov 12, 2026 11:30 AM ET · LJVM Coliseum, Winston-Salem, NC
Odds: not collected yet · Rating projection: Wake Forest by 11.8 (87% to win)

General Info Odds Ratings & Stats Records & Results More games from Nov 12

General Info

Overview

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat	UNCW	WAKE
Points per Game	78.5	75.7
Average Scoring Margin	+32.5	+21.7
Assists per Game	16.0	14.0
Total Rebounds per Game	35.0	33.3
Effective Field Goal %	57.3%	51.1%
Offensive Rebounding %	34.8%	25.0%
Free Throws Attempted per Field Goal Attempted	0.350	0.362
Turnovers per Possession	23.6%	18.4%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat	UNCW	WAKE
Opponent Points per Game	46.0	54.0
Opponent Effective Field Goal %	37.9%	40.6%
Offensive Rebounds per Game	11.5	8.3
Defensive Rebounds per Game	23.5	25.0
Blocks per Game	2.0	5.0
Steals per Game	16.5	14.3
Personal Fouls per Game	17.5	15.7

Travel Analysis and Injury Report

Not available yet. Travel distance needs arena locations, and there is no free injury feed for the women's game.

Odds

Point Spread, Over/Under and Money Line

Lines and line movement appear here once the Odds API key is added to the repo. Betting picks are intentionally left out.

Ratings & Stats

Power Ratings

	UNCW	WAKE
Predictive Rating	-6.0	+3.1
Power Rank	#254	#120
Strength of Schedule (played)	-14.2	-12.3
SOS Rank	347	341
Future SOS	-3.5	+7.2
Record	2-0	3-0
Win Probability	13%	87%

Home advantage in the projection: +2.7 points.

Matchup Stats

Stat	UNCW	Rank	WAKE	Rank
Points per Game	78.5	#97	75.7	#122
Average Scoring Margin	+32.5	#52	+21.7	#101
Offensive Efficiency	1.057	#96	1.016	#129
Floor %	48.7%	#94	46.8%	#125
1st Half Points per Game	46.0	#25	41.3	#64
2nd Half Points per Game	32.5	#255	34.3	#218
Overtime Points per Game	0.0	#15	0.0	#15
Average 1st Half Margin	+23.5	#22	+9.7	#117
Average 2nd Half Margin	+9.0	#120	+12.0	#89
Average Overtime Margin	--	--	--	--
Points from 2 Pointers	43.0	#95	41.3	#118
Points from 3 Pointers	24.0	#84	19.0	#175
Percent of Points from 2 Pointers	54.8%	#169	54.6%	#173
Percent of Points from 3 Pointers	30.6%	#121	25.1%	#211
Percent of Points from Free Throws	14.6%	#279	20.3%	#126
Shooting %	50.4%	#28	45.8%	#92
Effective Field Goal %	57.3%	#27	51.1%	#89
Three Point %	50.0%	#1	30.6%	#156
Two Point %	50.6%	#140	53.9%	#72
Free Throw %	56.1%	#342	71.9%	#149
True Shooting %	57.5%	#41	54.7%	#82
Field Goals Made per Game	29.5	#79	27.0	#136
Field Goals Attempted per Game	58.5	#238	59.0	#224
Three Pointers Made per Game	8.0	#84	6.3	#175
Three Pointers Attempted per Game	16.0	#305	20.7	#200
Free Throws Made per Game	11.5	#224	15.3	#98
Free Throws Attempted per Game	20.5	#128	21.3	#108
Three Point Rate	27.4%	#303	35.0%	#166
Two Point Rate	72.6%	#61	65.0%	#198
Free Throws Attempted per Field Goal Attempted	0.350	#107	0.362	#90
Free Throws Made per 100 Possessions	15.5	#229	20.6	#89
Free Throws Attempted per Offensive Play	23.9%	#112	25.8%	#77
Non-blocked 2 Pt %	55.8%	#113	57.9%	#67
Offensive Rebounds per Game	11.5	#241	8.3	#327
Defensive Rebounds per Game	23.5	#247	25.0	#197
Total Rebounds per Game	35.0	#268	33.3	#299
Offensive Rebounding %	34.8%	#181	25.0%	#319
Defensive Rebounding %	74.6%	#86	68.2%	#194
Total Rebounding % (Rebound Rate)	54.3%	#131	47.6%	#268
Blocks per Game	2.0	#273	5.0	#53
Steals per Game	16.5	#28	14.3	#49
Block %	4.4%	#250	8.8%	#56
Steals per Possession	23.0%	#18	19.5%	#46
Steals per Defensive Play	20.7%	#17	16.9%	#45
Assists per Game	16.0	#110	14.0	#171
Turnovers per Game	17.5	#216	13.7	#98
Turnovers per Possession	23.6%	#222	18.4%	#83
Assist / Turnover Ratio	0.914	#166	1.024	#123
Assists per FGM	0.542	#197	0.519	#230
Assists per Possession	21.6%	#117	18.8%	#193
Turnovers per Offensive Play	20.4%	#229	16.5%	#113
Personal Fouls per Game	17.5	#170	15.7	#93
Personal Fouls per Possession	24.4%	#191	21.3%	#92
Personal Fouls per Defensive Play	22.0%	#232	18.4%	#98
Opponent Points per Game	46.0	#33	54.0	#98
Opponent Average Scoring Margin	-32.5	#52	-21.7	#101
Defensive Efficiency	0.642	#42	0.736	#100
Opponent Floor %	29.9%	#48	34.7%	#117
Opponent 1st Half Points per Game	22.5	#46	31.7	#213
Opponent 2nd Half Points per Game	23.5	#40	22.3	#35
Opponent Overtime Points per Game	0.0	#1	0.0	#1
Opponent Points from 2 Pointers	24.0	#37	36.0	#224
Opponent Points from 3 Pointers	10.5	#40	10.0	#37
Opponent Percent of Points from 2 Pointers	52.2%	#171	66.7%	#341
Opponent Percent of Points from 3 Pointers	22.8%	#108	18.5%	#46
Opponent Percent of Points from Free Throws	25.0%	#300	14.8%	#81
Opponent Shooting %	34.1%	#99	37.6%	#159
Opponent Effective Field Goal %	37.9%	#86	40.6%	#136
Opponent Three Point %	35.0%	#301	26.3%	#149
Opponent Two Point %	33.8%	#42	40.9%	#127
Opponent Free Throw %	71.9%	#236	70.6%	#216
Opponent True Shooting %	43.3%	#116	43.5%	#119
Opponent Field Goals Made per Game	15.5	#21	21.3	#141
Opponent Field Goals Attempted per Game	45.5	#7	56.7	#146
Opponent Three Pointers Made per Game	3.5	#40	3.3	#37
Opponent Three Pointers Attempted per Game	10.0	#5	12.7	#12
Opponent Free Throws Made per Game	11.5	#167	8.0	#55
Opponent Free Throws Attempted per Game	16.0	#135	11.3	#42
Opponent Three Point Rate	22.0%	#10	22.4%	#14
Opponent Two Point Rate	78.0%	#354	77.6%	#350
Opponent Free Throws Attempted per Field Goal Attempted	0.352	#263	0.200	#46
Opponent Free Throws Made per 100 Possessions	16.1	#183	10.9	#52
Opponent Free Throws Attempted per Offensive Play	20.1%	#172	13.3%	#37
Opponent Non-blocked 2 Pt %	35.8%	#28	46.2%	#140
Opponent Offensive Rebounds per Game	8.0	#47	11.7	#183
Opponent Defensive Rebounds per Game	21.5	#83	25.0	#194
Opponent Total Rebounds per Game	29.5	#43	36.7	#193
Opponent Offensive Rebounding %	25.4%	#86	31.8%	#194
Opponent Defensive Rebounding %	65.2%	#181	75.0%	#319
Opponent Blocks per Game	4.0	#253	2.7	#139
Opponent Steals per Game	6.0	#63	5.7	#60
Opponent Block %	6.8%	#285	4.5%	#160
Opponent Steals per Possession	8.1%	#67	7.6%	#56
Opponent Steals per Defensive Play	7.0%	#74	6.8%	#67
Opponent Assists per Game	7.0	#27	8.0	#44
Opponent Turnovers per Game	26.5	#34	23.0	#69
Opponent Turnovers per Possession	37.0%	#21	31.3%	#64
Opponent Assist / Turnover Ratio	0.264	#22	0.348	#48
Opponent Assists per FGM	0.452	#71	0.375	#23
Opponent Assists per Possession	9.8%	#34	10.9%	#53
Opponent Turnovers per Offensive Play	33.3%	#19	27.0%	#71
Opponent Personal Fouls per Game	16.0	#264	19.7	#114
Opponent Personal Fouls per Possession	21.6%	#279	26.4%	#123
Opponent Personal Fouls per Defensive Play	18.7%	#271	23.8%	#78
Games Played	2	#184	3	#4
Possessions per Game	74.2	#161	74.5	#155
Extra Scoring Chances per Game	+12.5	#67	+6.0	#146
Effective Possession Ratio	0.919	#254	0.928	#244
Opponent Effective Possession Ratio	0.742	#17	0.846	#84
Win % - All Games	100.0%	#1	100.0%	#1
Win % - Close Games	--	--	--	--

Efficiency Stats

Stat	UNCW	Rank	WAKE	Rank
Offensive Efficiency	1.057	#96	1.016	#129
Defensive Efficiency	0.642	#42	0.736	#100
Possessions per Game	74.2	#161	74.5	#155
Effective Field Goal %	57.3%	#27	51.1%	#89
Opponent Effective Field Goal %	37.9%	#86	40.6%	#136
Turnovers per Possession	23.6%	#222	18.4%	#83
Opponent Turnovers per Possession	37.0%	#21	31.3%	#64
Offensive Rebounding %	34.8%	#181	25.0%	#319
Defensive Rebounding %	74.6%	#86	68.2%	#194
Free Throws Attempted per Field Goal Attempted	0.350	#107	0.362	#90
Opponent Free Throws Attempted per Field Goal Attempted	0.352	#263	0.200	#46
True Shooting %	57.5%	#41	54.7%	#82
Effective Possession Ratio	0.919	#254	0.928	#244

Stat Splits

Stat	UNCW Season	Last 3	Home	Away	WAKE Season	Last 3	Home	Away
Points per Game	78.5	78.5	78.5	--	75.7	75.7	75.7	--
Opponent Points per Game	46.0	46.0	46.0	--	54.0	54.0	54.0	--
Average Scoring Margin	+32.5	+32.5	+32.5	--	+21.7	+21.7	+21.7	--
Offensive Efficiency	1.057	1.057	1.057	--	1.016	1.016	1.016	--
Defensive Efficiency	0.642	0.642	0.642	--	0.736	0.736	0.736	--
Effective Field Goal %	57.3%	57.3%	57.3%	--	51.1%	51.1%	51.1%	--
Three Point %	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%	--	30.6%	30.6%	30.6%	--
Turnovers per Possession	23.6%	23.6%	23.6%	--	18.4%	18.4%	18.4%	--
Offensive Rebounding %	34.8%	34.8%	34.8%	--	25.0%	25.0%	25.0%	--

Rosters & Stats

UNC Wilmington Seahawks

Player	Pos	GP	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO
Loghan Johnson	G	2	23.0	16.0	9.0	1.5	1.5	0.0	2.0
Tiara Thompson	G	2	23.5	12.5	4.0	3.0	4.0	0.0	1.5
Sienna Dauer	G	2	22.0	11.0	1.5	1.0	2.0	0.0	0.5
Naylee Cortes	F	2	18.5	8.5	2.0	1.5	1.5	0.0	3.5
Ebbony Wilson	G	2	19.5	7.0	0.0	1.5	2.5	0.0	2.0
Bella Toomey	F	2	15.5	6.5	2.5	0.5	2.0	1.0	0.5
Kimmie Hicks	G	2	22.0	5.0	2.0	3.0	1.5	0.0	1.0
Morgan White	C	2	7.0	5.0	3.5	0.0	0.5	0.5	1.5
Promise Njoku	G	2	17.5	3.5	1.5	1.5	0.5	0.5	1.5
Leah Keyes	G	2	17.5	2.0	4.5	0.5	0.0	0.0	0.5
Alva Hägerström	G	2	14.0	1.5	2.0	2.0	0.5	0.0	2.5

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Player	Pos	GP	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO
Mary Carter	G	3	29.0	12.0	4.3	1.7	1.7	2.3	0.3
Aurora Sorbye	G	3	26.0	12.0	2.7	1.7	1.3	0.0	1.3
Oshauna Holland	G	3	20.3	12.0	5.0	0.7	3.0	0.3	1.3
Adora Nwude	G	3	13.7	9.3	2.0	2.0	2.0	0.0	1.7
Breauna Ware	G	3	23.7	8.0	1.3	2.7	2.0	0.0	2.7
Grace Galbavy	G	3	18.0	7.0	2.3	1.0	1.3	1.0	1.0
Opal Bird	F	3	20.7	5.7	2.7	2.0	1.7	0.7	0.3
Ramiyah Byrd	G	2	12.5	5.5	5.0	1.0	0.5	0.5	1.5
Helena Danielewicz	F	3	16.0	3.7	2.3	0.7	0.3	0.3	2.0
Mckenzie Swanson	F	3	8.7	1.3	3.0	0.3	0.3	0.0	1.0
Alexis Cashdollar	G	2	4.5	1.5	0.5	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.5
Madisyn Jordan	G	3	12.7	0.0	1.0	0.7	0.3	0.0	0.3

Records & Results

Situational Trends

Situation	UNCW W-L	Avg Margin	WAKE W-L	Avg Margin
All Games	2-0	+32.5	3-0	+21.7
As Home Team	2-0	+32.5	3-0	+21.7
As Away Team	0-0	--	0-0	--
At Neutral Site	0-0	--	0-0	--
Against Ranked Opponents	0-0	--	0-0	--
After A Win	1-0	+34.0	2-0	+29.0
After A Loss	0-0	--	0-0	--
Conference Games	0-0	--	0-0	--
Non-Conference Games	2-0	+32.5	3-0	+21.7
1 Day Off or Less	0-0	--	0-0	--
2-3 Days Off	1-0	+34.0	2-0	+29.0
4+ Days Off	0-0	--	0-0	--
Close Games (5 or fewer)	0-0	--	0-0	--
Last 5 Games	2-0	+32.5	3-0	+21.7
Last 10 Games	2-0	+32.5	3-0	+21.7

Against-the-spread and over/under records start once lines are collected.

Dual Game Log

UNC Wilmington Seahawks

Date	Opponent	Result	Margin	Off Eff	Def Eff
Nov 3	Non-D-I opponent	W 75-44	+31	1.015	0.614
Nov 7	#347 NC Central	W 82-48	+34	1.100	0.671

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Date	Opponent	Result	Margin	Off Eff	Def Eff
Nov 2	#318 SC Upstate	W 65-58	+7	0.874	0.781
Nov 5	#360 Presbyterian	W 85-53	+32	1.166	0.725
Nov 8	#253 Mercer	W 77-51	+26	1.011	0.701

Head to Head

No meetings since 2021-22.

Common Opponents

No common opponents yet this season.