MTSU at Tennessee: Matchup

Thursday Nov 12, 2026 6:30 PM ET · Food City Center, Knoxville, TN
Odds: not collected yet · Rating projection: Tennessee by 20.8 (98% to win)

General Info Odds Ratings & Stats Records & Results More games from Nov 12

General Info

Overview

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat	MTSU	TENN
Points per Game	64.5	103.5
Average Scoring Margin	-1.0	+42.5
Assists per Game	9.5	21.5
Total Rebounds per Game	42.0	52.5
Effective Field Goal %	34.3%	49.4%
Offensive Rebounding %	39.8%	44.0%
Free Throws Attempted per Field Goal Attempted	0.433	0.341
Turnovers per Possession	22.6%	13.0%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat	MTSU	TENN
Opponent Points per Game	65.5	61.0
Opponent Effective Field Goal %	48.2%	38.8%
Offensive Rebounds per Game	18.5	22.0
Defensive Rebounds per Game	23.5	30.5
Blocks per Game	4.5	3.5
Steals per Game	11.5	17.5
Personal Fouls per Game	18.0	17.5

Travel Analysis and Injury Report

Not available yet. Travel distance needs arena locations, and there is no free injury feed for the women's game.

Odds

Point Spread, Over/Under and Money Line

Lines and line movement appear here once the Odds API key is added to the repo. Betting picks are intentionally left out.

Ratings & Stats

Power Ratings

	MTSU	TENN
Predictive Rating	-0.4	+17.7
Power Rank	#178	#21
Strength of Schedule (played)	-1.4	-6.8
SOS Rank	219	292
Future SOS	-0.5	+10.7
Record	1-1	2-0
Win Probability	2%	98%

Home advantage in the projection: +2.7 points.

Matchup Stats

Stat	MTSU	Rank	TENN	Rank
Points per Game	64.5	#244	103.5	#7
Average Scoring Margin	-1.0	#232	+42.5	#21
Offensive Efficiency	0.859	#262	1.228	#17
Floor %	39.1%	#267	51.9%	#46
1st Half Points per Game	34.0	#168	46.5	#23
2nd Half Points per Game	21.0	#356	57.0	#3
Overtime Points per Game	9.5	#1	0.0	#15
Average 1st Half Margin	+4.0	#185	+15.0	#62
Average 2nd Half Margin	-8.5	#312	+27.5	#12
Average Overtime Margin	+7.0	#2	--	--
Points from 2 Pointers	27.0	#327	36.0	#214
Points from 3 Pointers	16.5	#219	45.0	#1
Percent of Points from 2 Pointers	41.9%	#339	34.8%	#361
Percent of Points from 3 Pointers	25.6%	#203	43.5%	#10
Percent of Points from Free Throws	32.6%	#5	21.7%	#96
Shooting %	29.9%	#353	40.2%	#209
Effective Field Goal %	34.3%	#350	49.4%	#127
Three Point %	17.7%	#349	37.0%	#53
Two Point %	41.5%	#286	43.4%	#260
Free Throw %	76.4%	#75	80.4%	#30
True Shooting %	42.1%	#318	54.3%	#89
Field Goals Made per Game	19.0	#321	33.0	#36
Field Goals Attempted per Game	63.5	#131	82.0	#6
Three Pointers Made per Game	5.5	#219	15.0	#1
Three Pointers Attempted per Game	31.0	#17	40.5	#1
Free Throws Made per Game	21.0	#12	22.5	#3
Free Throws Attempted per Game	27.5	#26	28.0	#20
Three Point Rate	48.8%	#14	49.4%	#12
Two Point Rate	51.2%	#350	50.6%	#352
Free Throws Attempted per Field Goal Attempted	0.433	#39	0.341	#117
Free Throws Made per 100 Possessions	28.0	#16	26.7	#22
Free Throws Attempted per Offensive Play	29.4%	#36	26.3%	#68
Non-blocked 2 Pt %	51.9%	#183	49.3%	#240
Offensive Rebounds per Game	18.5	#34	22.0	#9
Defensive Rebounds per Game	23.5	#247	30.5	#57
Total Rebounds per Game	42.0	#109	52.5	#9
Offensive Rebounding %	39.8%	#102	44.0%	#43
Defensive Rebounding %	70.1%	#157	67.0%	#213
Total Rebounding % (Rebound Rate)	52.5%	#161	55.0%	#116
Blocks per Game	4.5	#81	3.5	#155
Steals per Game	11.5	#102	17.5	#23
Block %	8.2%	#72	5.6%	#182
Steals per Possession	15.6%	#100	20.6%	#34
Steals per Defensive Play	13.8%	#95	17.5%	#41
Assists per Game	9.5	#314	21.5	#19
Turnovers per Game	17.0	#192	11.0	#25
Turnovers per Possession	22.6%	#199	13.0%	#11
Assist / Turnover Ratio	0.559	#292	1.955	#16
Assists per FGM	0.500	#247	0.652	#53
Assists per Possession	12.7%	#313	25.5%	#44
Turnovers per Offensive Play	18.2%	#166	10.3%	#10
Personal Fouls per Game	18.0	#188	17.5	#170
Personal Fouls per Possession	24.5%	#194	20.6%	#68
Personal Fouls per Defensive Play	21.5%	#212	17.5%	#56
Opponent Points per Game	65.5	#204	61.0	#158
Opponent Average Scoring Margin	+1.0	#232	-42.5	#21
Defensive Efficiency	0.891	#202	0.718	#84
Opponent Floor %	40.8%	#211	32.8%	#83
Opponent 1st Half Points per Game	30.0	#174	31.5	#206
Opponent 2nd Half Points per Game	29.5	#120	29.5	#120
Opponent Overtime Points per Game	6.0	#356	0.0	#1
Opponent Points from 2 Pointers	35.0	#210	29.0	#117
Opponent Points from 3 Pointers	18.0	#193	19.5	#237
Opponent Percent of Points from 2 Pointers	53.4%	#188	47.5%	#83
Opponent Percent of Points from 3 Pointers	27.5%	#196	32.0%	#261
Opponent Percent of Points from Free Throws	19.1%	#191	20.5%	#228
Opponent Shooting %	42.7%	#264	33.6%	#91
Opponent Effective Field Goal %	48.2%	#269	38.8%	#101
Opponent Three Point %	27.3%	#179	25.0%	#120
Opponent Two Point %	53.0%	#321	39.7%	#115
Opponent Free Throw %	69.4%	#199	62.5%	#80
Opponent True Shooting %	51.5%	#268	42.4%	#105
Opponent Field Goals Made per Game	23.5	#201	21.0	#137
Opponent Field Goals Attempted per Game	55.0	#106	62.5	#262
Opponent Three Pointers Made per Game	6.0	#193	6.5	#237
Opponent Three Pointers Attempted per Game	22.0	#223	26.0	#315
Opponent Free Throws Made per Game	12.5	#197	12.5	#197
Opponent Free Throws Attempted per Game	18.0	#197	20.0	#238
Opponent Three Point Rate	40.0%	#279	41.6%	#300
Opponent Two Point Rate	60.0%	#85	58.4%	#64
Opponent Free Throws Attempted per Field Goal Attempted	0.327	#222	0.320	#208
Opponent Free Throws Made per 100 Possessions	17.0	#209	14.7	#133
Opponent Free Throws Attempted per Offensive Play	21.5%	#215	20.0%	#168
Opponent Non-blocked 2 Pt %	61.4%	#351	43.9%	#110
Opponent Offensive Rebounds per Game	10.0	#95	15.0	#288
Opponent Defensive Rebounds per Game	28.0	#287	28.0	#287
Opponent Total Rebounds per Game	38.0	#219	43.0	#305
Opponent Offensive Rebounding %	29.9%	#157	33.0%	#213
Opponent Defensive Rebounding %	60.2%	#102	56.0%	#43
Opponent Blocks per Game	6.5	#351	5.0	#308
Opponent Steals per Game	7.5	#145	5.0	#25
Opponent Block %	10.2%	#350	6.1%	#252
Opponent Steals per Possession	10.0%	#141	5.9%	#13
Opponent Steals per Defensive Play	8.0%	#124	4.7%	#13
Opponent Assists per Game	9.5	#91	11.0	#134
Opponent Turnovers per Game	20.0	#127	28.0	#22
Opponent Turnovers per Possession	27.2%	#132	32.9%	#42
Opponent Assist / Turnover Ratio	0.475	#98	0.393	#62
Opponent Assists per FGM	0.404	#38	0.524	#156
Opponent Assists per Possession	12.9%	#92	12.9%	#95
Opponent Turnovers per Offensive Play	23.9%	#122	28.0%	#52
Opponent Personal Fouls per Game	25.0	#14	23.0	#37
Opponent Personal Fouls per Possession	33.3%	#13	27.3%	#98
Opponent Personal Fouls per Defensive Play	26.7%	#31	21.6%	#156
Games Played	2	#184	2	#184
Possessions per Game	75.1	#141	84.3	#18
Extra Scoring Chances per Game	+11.5	#74	+24.0	#17
Effective Possession Ratio	1.020	#69	1.130	#6
Opponent Effective Possession Ratio	0.864	#114	0.847	#91
Win % - All Games	50.0%	#176	100.0%	#1
Win % - Close Games	--	--	--	--

Efficiency Stats

Stat	MTSU	Rank	TENN	Rank
Offensive Efficiency	0.859	#262	1.228	#17
Defensive Efficiency	0.891	#202	0.718	#84
Possessions per Game	75.1	#141	84.3	#18
Effective Field Goal %	34.3%	#350	49.4%	#127
Opponent Effective Field Goal %	48.2%	#269	38.8%	#101
Turnovers per Possession	22.6%	#199	13.0%	#11
Opponent Turnovers per Possession	27.2%	#132	32.9%	#42
Offensive Rebounding %	39.8%	#102	44.0%	#43
Defensive Rebounding %	70.1%	#157	67.0%	#213
Free Throws Attempted per Field Goal Attempted	0.433	#39	0.341	#117
Opponent Free Throws Attempted per Field Goal Attempted	0.327	#222	0.320	#208
True Shooting %	42.1%	#318	54.3%	#89
Effective Possession Ratio	1.020	#69	1.130	#6

Stat Splits

Stat	MTSU Season	Last 3	Home	Away	TENN Season	Last 3	Home	Away
Points per Game	64.5	64.5	91.0	38.0	103.5	103.5	109.0	98.0
Opponent Points per Game	65.5	65.5	84.0	47.0	61.0	61.0	62.0	60.0
Average Scoring Margin	-1.0	-1.0	+7.0	-9.0	+42.5	+42.5	+47.0	+38.0
Offensive Efficiency	0.859	0.859	1.002	0.641	1.228	1.228	1.308	1.150
Defensive Efficiency	0.891	0.891	0.956	0.794	0.718	0.718	0.737	0.699
Effective Field Goal %	34.3%	34.3%	36.7%	30.8%	49.4%	49.4%	51.1%	47.4%
Three Point %	17.7%	17.7%	18.9%	16.0%	37.0%	37.0%	37.0%	37.1%
Turnovers per Possession	22.6%	22.6%	18.7%	28.7%	13.0%	13.0%	8.4%	17.6%
Offensive Rebounding %	39.8%	39.8%	41.8%	36.8%	44.0%	44.0%	44.2%	43.8%

Rosters & Stats

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Player	Pos	GP	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO
Blair Baugus	G	2	42.5	19.0	9.5	2.0	3.5	1.0	1.5
Mya Kone	G	2	33.0	14.5	5.5	2.0	0.5	0.5	4.5
Xai Whitfield	G	2	22.0	8.0	1.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	2.0
Maayan Cohen	G	2	22.5	6.0	2.5	1.5	2.5	0.0	0.5
Stanislava Kabernick	F	2	30.0	5.0	7.5	2.0	0.5	1.5	3.0
Kirston Verhulst	G	2	22.0	5.0	2.0	1.0	2.0	0.0	1.5
Aaliyah Blanchard	G	2	17.0	4.5	6.0	0.5	1.0	0.0	3.5
Carsyn Swaney	G	2	12.5	2.5	0.5	0.0	1.0	0.0	0.0
Elisa Mehyar	F	1	5.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.0	0.0
Nicole Dominguez	C	2	8.5	0.0	2.0	0.0	0.0	0.5	0.0

Tennessee Lady Volunteers

Player	Pos	GP	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO
Kaylene Smikle	G	2	18.5	24.5	5.5	2.0	2.5	0.5	0.0
Gabby Minus	G	2	19.0	12.5	8.5	2.5	1.5	0.5	1.0
Aaliyah Moore	F	2	19.0	11.0	3.5	1.5	3.0	0.5	2.0
Jada Eads	G	2	22.0	10.5	2.0	4.5	2.5	0.0	1.5
Naomi White	G	2	18.5	9.5	3.0	0.5	1.0	0.0	0.5
Rylie Theuerkauf	G	2	20.5	9.0	2.5	1.0	1.0	0.0	2.0
Riley Makalusky	F	2	9.0	7.0	0.5	0.0	0.5	0.5	0.0
Kennedy Fauntleroy	G	2	20.0	6.0	1.5	4.5	3.0	1.0	0.0
Fatmata Janneh	F	2	18.0	5.0	11.5	2.5	0.0	0.0	0.5
Harissoum Coulibaly	G	2	14.0	3.0	1.5	0.5	0.0	0.0	0.5
Harper Peterson	F	2	3.0	3.0	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.5	0.0
Zhen Craft	F	2	14.5	1.5	4.5	1.0	2.0	0.0	2.0
Irene Oboavwoduo	G	2	2.0	1.0	0.0	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.0
Nya Robertson	G	1	2.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.0
Shaelyn Steele	G	1	2.0	0.0	1.0	1.0	0.0	0.0	1.0

Records & Results

Situational Trends

Situation	MTSU W-L	Avg Margin	TENN W-L	Avg Margin
All Games	1-1	-1.0	2-0	+42.5
As Home Team	1-0	+7.0	1-0	+47.0
As Away Team	0-1	-9.0	1-0	+38.0
At Neutral Site	0-0	--	0-0	--
Against Ranked Opponents	0-0	--	0-0	--
After A Win	0-1	-9.0	1-0	+38.0
After A Loss	0-0	--	0-0	--
Conference Games	0-0	--	0-0	--
Non-Conference Games	1-1	-1.0	2-0	+42.5
1 Day Off or Less	0-0	--	0-0	--
2-3 Days Off	0-1	-9.0	1-0	+38.0
4+ Days Off	0-0	--	0-0	--
Close Games (5 or fewer)	0-0	--	0-0	--
Last 5 Games	1-1	-1.0	2-0	+42.5
Last 10 Games	1-1	-1.0	2-0	+42.5

Against-the-spread and over/under records start once lines are collected.

Dual Game Log

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Date	Opponent	Result	Margin	Off Eff	Def Eff
Nov 2	#192 Saint Louis	W 91-84	+7	1.002	0.956
Nov 6	at #184 Memphis	L 38-47	-9	0.641	0.794

Tennessee Lady Volunteers

Date	Opponent	Result	Margin	Off Eff	Def Eff
Nov 2	#240 Duquesne	W 109-62	+47	1.308	0.737
Nov 5	at #285 Coppin St	W 98-60	+38	1.150	0.699

Head to Head

Date	Game	Result
Nov 20, 2025	Tennessee at MTSU	Tennessee 85-41
Nov 12, 2024	MTSU at Tennessee	Tennessee 89-75
Dec 6, 2023	Tennessee vs. MTSU	MTSU 73-62

Common Opponents

No common opponents yet this season.