Michigan St at Harvard: Matchup

Sunday Nov 15, 2026 2:00 PM ET · Lavietes Pavilion, Cambridge, MA
Odds: not collected yet · Rating projection: Michigan St by 1.7 (56% to win)

General Info Odds Ratings & Stats Records & Results More games from Nov 15

General Info

Overview

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat	MSU	HARV
Points per Game	85.0	68.7
Average Scoring Margin	+31.0	+10.3
Assists per Game	18.5	13.7
Total Rebounds per Game	47.5	41.7
Effective Field Goal %	48.2%	44.5%
Offensive Rebounding %	30.6%	42.3%
Free Throws Attempted per Field Goal Attempted	0.380	0.284
Turnovers per Possession	16.6%	20.4%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat	MSU	HARV
Opponent Points per Game	54.0	58.3
Opponent Effective Field Goal %	36.8%	38.4%
Offensive Rebounds per Game	13.0	17.3
Defensive Rebounds per Game	34.5	24.3
Blocks per Game	3.5	5.3
Steals per Game	16.5	8.0
Personal Fouls per Game	17.5	17.0

Travel Analysis and Injury Report

Not available yet. Travel distance needs arena locations, and there is no free injury feed for the women's game.

Odds

Point Spread, Over/Under and Money Line

Lines and line movement appear here once the Odds API key is added to the repo. Betting picks are intentionally left out.

Ratings & Stats

Power Ratings

	MSU	HARV
Predictive Rating	+15.3	+10.9
Power Rank	#33	#55
Strength of Schedule (played)	-8.2	+3.7
SOS Rank	316	126
Future SOS	+9.4	+4.0
Record	2-0	2-1
Win Probability	56%	44%

Home advantage in the projection: +2.7 points.

Matchup Stats

Stat	MSU	Rank	HARV	Rank
Points per Game	85.0	#55	68.7	#196
Average Scoring Margin	+31.0	#56	+10.3	#164
Offensive Efficiency	1.045	#106	1.002	#146
Floor %	48.7%	#93	45.0%	#162
1st Half Points per Game	39.0	#96	32.0	#214
2nd Half Points per Game	46.0	#32	36.7	#173
Overtime Points per Game	0.0	#15	0.0	#15
Average 1st Half Margin	+23.0	#24	+6.7	#158
Average 2nd Half Margin	+8.0	#127	+3.7	#178
Average Overtime Margin	--	--	--	--
Points from 2 Pointers	48.0	#52	33.3	#254
Points from 3 Pointers	18.0	#189	23.0	#96
Percent of Points from 2 Pointers	56.5%	#133	48.5%	#279
Percent of Points from 3 Pointers	21.2%	#286	33.5%	#80
Percent of Points from Free Throws	22.4%	#80	18.0%	#182
Shooting %	43.8%	#131	38.4%	#251
Effective Field Goal %	48.2%	#156	44.5%	#231
Three Point %	26.7%	#243	28.7%	#201
Two Point %	52.2%	#106	45.5%	#230
Free Throw %	73.1%	#125	68.5%	#197
True Shooting %	52.6%	#131	47.8%	#237
Field Goals Made per Game	30.0	#72	24.3	#200
Field Goals Attempted per Game	68.5	#66	63.3	#135
Three Pointers Made per Game	6.0	#189	7.7	#96
Three Pointers Attempted per Game	22.5	#140	26.7	#64
Free Throws Made per Game	19.0	#29	12.3	#189
Free Throws Attempted per Game	26.0	#40	18.0	#191
Three Point Rate	32.8%	#218	42.1%	#62
Two Point Rate	67.2%	#146	57.9%	#300
Free Throws Attempted per Field Goal Attempted	0.380	#73	0.284	#204
Free Throws Made per 100 Possessions	23.4	#46	18.0	#164
Free Throws Attempted per Offensive Play	27.6%	#51	21.0%	#184
Non-blocked 2 Pt %	56.5%	#97	50.0%	#218
Offensive Rebounds per Game	13.0	#172	17.3	#58
Defensive Rebounds per Game	34.5	#11	24.3	#222
Total Rebounds per Game	47.5	#31	41.7	#118
Offensive Rebounding %	30.6%	#252	42.3%	#66
Defensive Rebounding %	81.2%	#22	63.5%	#270
Total Rebounding % (Rebound Rate)	55.9%	#102	52.5%	#160
Blocks per Game	3.5	#155	5.3	#48
Steals per Game	16.5	#28	8.0	#236
Block %	5.8%	#173	9.2%	#47
Steals per Possession	19.8%	#41	11.8%	#221
Steals per Defensive Play	18.1%	#35	9.8%	#228
Assists per Game	18.5	#50	13.7	#189
Turnovers per Game	13.5	#88	14.0	#105
Turnovers per Possession	16.6%	#42	20.4%	#139
Assist / Turnover Ratio	1.370	#48	0.976	#136
Assists per FGM	0.617	#90	0.562	#165
Assists per Possession	22.7%	#91	19.9%	#159
Turnovers per Offensive Play	14.3%	#48	16.3%	#106
Personal Fouls per Game	17.5	#170	17.0	#144
Personal Fouls per Possession	21.0%	#82	25.0%	#217
Personal Fouls per Defensive Play	19.2%	#128	20.8%	#184
Opponent Points per Game	54.0	#98	58.3	#131
Opponent Average Scoring Margin	-31.0	#56	-10.3	#164
Defensive Efficiency	0.649	#44	0.859	#176
Opponent Floor %	30.1%	#50	39.5%	#177
Opponent 1st Half Points per Game	16.0	#6	25.3	#95
Opponent 2nd Half Points per Game	38.0	#286	33.0	#186
Opponent Overtime Points per Game	0.0	#1	0.0	#1
Opponent Points from 2 Pointers	31.0	#151	33.3	#189
Opponent Points from 3 Pointers	13.5	#101	11.0	#49
Opponent Percent of Points from 2 Pointers	57.4%	#248	57.1%	#244
Opponent Percent of Points from 3 Pointers	25.0%	#148	18.9%	#56
Opponent Percent of Points from Free Throws	17.6%	#148	24.0%	#283
Opponent Shooting %	33.1%	#80	35.3%	#124
Opponent Effective Field Goal %	36.8%	#73	38.4%	#94
Opponent Three Point %	18.8%	#30	21.2%	#51
Opponent Two Point %	42.5%	#151	41.3%	#133
Opponent Free Throw %	67.9%	#179	84.0%	#352
Opponent True Shooting %	40.2%	#66	44.5%	#127
Opponent Field Goals Made per Game	20.0	#115	20.3	#127
Opponent Field Goals Attempted per Game	60.5	#224	57.7	#163
Opponent Three Pointers Made per Game	4.5	#101	3.7	#49
Opponent Three Pointers Attempted per Game	24.0	#277	17.3	#95
Opponent Free Throws Made per Game	9.5	#95	14.0	#246
Opponent Free Throws Attempted per Game	14.0	#92	16.7	#158
Opponent Three Point Rate	39.7%	#273	30.1%	#103
Opponent Two Point Rate	60.3%	#90	69.9%	#261
Opponent Free Throws Attempted per Field Goal Attempted	0.231	#90	0.289	#171
Opponent Free Throws Made per 100 Possessions	11.4	#63	20.6	#294
Opponent Free Throws Attempted per Offensive Play	15.4%	#71	20.3%	#177
Opponent Non-blocked 2 Pt %	47.0%	#158	47.6%	#162
Opponent Offensive Rebounds per Game	8.0	#47	14.0	#255
Opponent Defensive Rebounds per Game	29.5	#314	23.7	#149
Opponent Total Rebounds per Game	37.5	#210	37.7	#215
Opponent Offensive Rebounding %	18.8%	#22	36.5%	#270
Opponent Defensive Rebounding %	69.4%	#252	57.7%	#66
Opponent Blocks per Game	3.5	#222	3.3	#206
Opponent Steals per Game	6.5	#89	6.7	#100
Opponent Block %	5.1%	#193	5.3%	#202
Opponent Steals per Possession	8.0%	#65	9.7%	#129
Opponent Steals per Defensive Play	6.9%	#70	7.8%	#114
Opponent Assists per Game	12.0	#174	9.0	#73
Opponent Turnovers per Game	24.0	#53	16.3	#245
Opponent Turnovers per Possession	28.9%	#97	24.0%	#204
Opponent Assist / Turnover Ratio	0.500	#114	0.551	#140
Opponent Assists per FGM	0.600	#260	0.443	#64
Opponent Assists per Possession	14.4%	#130	13.3%	#101
Opponent Turnovers per Offensive Play	26.3%	#80	19.9%	#226
Opponent Personal Fouls per Game	20.0	#100	16.3	#258
Opponent Personal Fouls per Possession	24.6%	#186	23.8%	#212
Opponent Personal Fouls per Defensive Play	21.2%	#170	19.0%	#256
Games Played	2	#184	3	#4
Possessions per Game	81.3	#39	68.5	#311
Extra Scoring Chances per Game	+15.5	#45	+5.7	#154
Effective Possession Ratio	0.994	#110	1.049	#46
Opponent Effective Possession Ratio	0.808	#45	0.966	#281
Win % - All Games	100.0%	#1	66.7%	#127
Win % - Close Games	--	--	--	--

Efficiency Stats

Stat	MSU	Rank	HARV	Rank
Offensive Efficiency	1.045	#106	1.002	#146
Defensive Efficiency	0.649	#44	0.859	#176
Possessions per Game	81.3	#39	68.5	#311
Effective Field Goal %	48.2%	#156	44.5%	#231
Opponent Effective Field Goal %	36.8%	#73	38.4%	#94
Turnovers per Possession	16.6%	#42	20.4%	#139
Opponent Turnovers per Possession	28.9%	#97	24.0%	#204
Offensive Rebounding %	30.6%	#252	42.3%	#66
Defensive Rebounding %	81.2%	#22	63.5%	#270
Free Throws Attempted per Field Goal Attempted	0.380	#73	0.284	#204
Opponent Free Throws Attempted per Field Goal Attempted	0.231	#90	0.289	#171
True Shooting %	52.6%	#131	47.8%	#237
Effective Possession Ratio	0.994	#110	1.049	#46

Stat Splits

Stat	MSU Season	Last 3	Home	Away	HARV Season	Last 3	Home	Away
Points per Game	85.0	85.0	98.0	72.0	68.7	68.7	81.0	62.5
Opponent Points per Game	54.0	54.0	44.0	64.0	58.3	58.3	51.0	62.0
Average Scoring Margin	+31.0	+31.0	+54.0	+8.0	+10.3	+10.3	+30.0	+0.5
Offensive Efficiency	1.045	1.045	1.154	0.926	1.002	1.002	1.167	0.917
Defensive Efficiency	0.649	0.649	0.505	0.809	0.859	0.859	0.743	0.917
Effective Field Goal %	48.2%	48.2%	58.0%	38.2%	44.5%	44.5%	52.5%	40.8%
Three Point %	26.7%	26.7%	34.8%	18.2%	28.7%	28.7%	40.0%	22.0%
Turnovers per Possession	16.6%	16.6%	20.0%	12.9%	20.4%	20.4%	18.7%	21.3%
Offensive Rebounding %	30.6%	30.6%	33.3%	28.6%	42.3%	42.3%	41.2%	42.7%

Rosters & Stats

Michigan State Spartans

Player	Pos	GP	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO
Kennedy Blair	G	2	28.0	20.0	8.0	6.5	2.0	0.5	2.5
Theryn Hallock	G	2	25.0	13.0	4.0	2.5	4.5	0.0	1.0
Amy Terrian	G	2	21.5	9.0	3.0	0.5	1.5	0.0	1.0
Monique Bobongie	G	2	26.0	8.5	4.5	2.0	0.0	1.0	2.0
Kathy-Emma Otto	F	2	21.5	8.5	6.5	0.5	4.0	1.0	0.5
Emma Broliron	G	2	16.5	6.5	1.0	2.0	2.0	0.0	2.5
Anna Wypych	G	2	12.5	5.5	2.0	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.0
Tabitha Betson	F	2	24.0	5.5	7.5	2.5	1.0	0.0	0.0
Sara Sambolic	G	1	14.0	6.0	0.0	2.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Lilly Williams	C	2	8.0	3.0	4.0	0.0	1.0	0.5	2.5
Uche Kaine	F	1	5.0	3.0	2.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.0
Alie Bisballe	F	1	3.0	2.0	3.0	1.0	0.0	0.0	2.0
Anna Terrian	G	1	12.0	0.0	1.0	0.0	0.0	1.0	0.0

Harvard Crimson

Player	Pos	GP	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO
Karlee White	G	3	28.0	15.7	5.3	3.3	2.0	0.0	3.7
Abigail Wright	F	3	25.3	13.0	6.3	2.7	0.3	1.0	2.3
Olivia Jones	G	3	27.7	10.0	7.0	1.7	1.0	0.7	1.7
Lydia Chatira	G	3	34.7	8.7	4.0	3.7	1.3	1.3	2.0
Sam Wills	F	3	17.7	8.3	3.0	0.0	1.3	0.7	0.3
Mary Hollensteiner	G	3	17.3	3.7	2.3	0.3	0.3	0.3	1.7
Ava Krumwiede	F	3	4.0	2.7	0.3	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3
Aubrey Shaw	G	3	9.0	2.7	0.7	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.0
Alayna Rocco	G	3	12.7	1.7	1.3	0.3	0.3	0.0	0.0
Asani Ceaser	F	3	11.7	1.7	2.0	0.7	0.3	0.0	0.3
Maya Nahar	C	3	6.3	0.7	0.3	0.7	0.3	0.7	0.0
Hana Belibi	F	2	3.5	0.0	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.5
Sierra Woolhouse	G	3	2.3	0.0	0.3	0.0	0.3	0.3	0.3
Adyra Rajan	G	2	1.5	0.0	0.5	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Records & Results

Situational Trends

Situation	MSU W-L	Avg Margin	HARV W-L	Avg Margin
All Games	2-0	+31.0	2-1	+10.3
As Home Team	1-0	+54.0	1-0	+30.0
As Away Team	1-0	+8.0	1-1	+0.5
At Neutral Site	0-0	--	0-0	--
Against Ranked Opponents	0-0	--	0-1	-20.0
After A Win	1-0	+8.0	1-0	+21.0
After A Loss	0-0	--	1-0	+30.0
Conference Games	0-0	--	0-0	--
Non-Conference Games	2-0	+31.0	2-1	+10.3
1 Day Off or Less	0-0	--	0-0	--
2-3 Days Off	1-0	+8.0	2-0	+25.5
4+ Days Off	0-0	--	0-0	--
Close Games (5 or fewer)	0-0	--	0-0	--
Last 5 Games	2-0	+31.0	2-1	+10.3
Last 10 Games	2-0	+31.0	2-1	+10.3

Against-the-spread and over/under records start once lines are collected.

Dual Game Log

Michigan State Spartans

Date	Opponent	Result	Margin	Off Eff	Def Eff
Nov 3	#355 Valparaiso	W 98-44	+54	1.154	0.505
Nov 7	at #142 Toledo	W 72-64	+8	0.926	0.809

Harvard Crimson

Date	Opponent	Result	Margin	Off Eff	Def Eff
Nov 2	at #13 Minnesota	L 62-82	-20	0.857	1.119
Nov 5	#272 Boston College	W 81-51	+30	1.167	0.743
Nov 9	at #186 Holy Cross	W 63-42	+21	0.986	0.679

Head to Head

Date	Game	Result
Mar 22, 2025	Harvard vs. Michigan St	Michigan St 64-50

Common Opponents

No common opponents yet this season.