Troy at Mississippi St: Matchup

Wednesday Nov 11, 2026 7:30 PM ET · Humphrey Coliseum, Starkville, MS
Odds: not collected yet · Rating projection: Mississippi St by 9.9 (83% to win)

General Info Odds Ratings & Stats Records & Results More games from Nov 11

General Info

Overview

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat	TROY	MSST
Points per Game	96.5	91.0
Average Scoring Margin	+39.5	+43.5
Assists per Game	21.0	17.5
Total Rebounds per Game	52.5	50.0
Effective Field Goal %	50.7%	57.2%
Offensive Rebounding %	42.9%	40.5%
Free Throws Attempted per Field Goal Attempted	0.373	0.252
Turnovers per Possession	17.9%	22.8%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat	TROY	MSST
Opponent Points per Game	57.0	47.5
Opponent Effective Field Goal %	35.2%	29.6%
Offensive Rebounds per Game	19.5	15.0
Defensive Rebounds per Game	33.0	35.0
Blocks per Game	9.0	7.0
Steals per Game	13.5	16.5
Personal Fouls per Game	19.0	16.0

Travel Analysis and Injury Report

Not available yet. Travel distance needs arena locations, and there is no free injury feed for the women's game.

Odds

Point Spread, Over/Under and Money Line

Lines and line movement appear here once the Odds API key is added to the repo. Betting picks are intentionally left out.

Ratings & Stats

Power Ratings

	TROY	MSST
Predictive Rating	+8.6	+15.9
Power Rank	#71	#31
Strength of Schedule (played)	-1.3	-5.6
SOS Rank	217	282
Future SOS	+1.0	+10.6
Record	2-0	2-0
Win Probability	17%	83%

Home advantage in the projection: +2.7 points.

Matchup Stats

Stat	TROY	Rank	MSST	Rank
Points per Game	96.5	#12	91.0	#28
Average Scoring Margin	+39.5	#27	+43.5	#20
Offensive Efficiency	1.152	#44	1.119	#62
Floor %	51.8%	#49	51.9%	#48
1st Half Points per Game	47.0	#21	41.5	#62
2nd Half Points per Game	49.5	#16	49.5	#16
Overtime Points per Game	0.0	#15	0.0	#15
Average 1st Half Margin	+14.5	#66	+14.5	#66
Average 2nd Half Margin	+25.0	#14	+29.0	#10
Average Overtime Margin	--	--	--	--
Points from 2 Pointers	46.0	#68	57.0	#12
Points from 3 Pointers	30.0	#20	22.5	#106
Percent of Points from 2 Pointers	47.7%	#292	62.6%	#50
Percent of Points from 3 Pointers	31.1%	#110	24.7%	#223
Percent of Points from Free Throws	21.2%	#104	12.6%	#321
Shooting %	44.0%	#127	51.8%	#18
Effective Field Goal %	50.7%	#97	57.2%	#28
Three Point %	31.2%	#138	36.6%	#60
Two Point %	53.5%	#80	58.2%	#28
Free Throw %	73.2%	#123	65.7%	#251
True Shooting %	54.6%	#83	58.5%	#33
Field Goals Made per Game	33.0	#36	36.0	#11
Field Goals Attempted per Game	75.0	#14	69.5	#55
Three Pointers Made per Game	10.0	#20	7.5	#106
Three Pointers Attempted per Game	32.0	#14	20.5	#204
Free Throws Made per Game	20.5	#19	11.5	#224
Free Throws Attempted per Game	28.0	#20	17.5	#210
Three Point Rate	42.7%	#59	29.5%	#278
Two Point Rate	57.3%	#305	70.5%	#86
Free Throws Attempted per Field Goal Attempted	0.373	#77	0.252	#267
Free Throws Made per 100 Possessions	24.5	#34	14.1	#268
Free Throws Attempted per Offensive Play	27.1%	#55	18.2%	#261
Non-blocked 2 Pt %	56.1%	#107	61.3%	#37
Offensive Rebounds per Game	19.5	#20	15.0	#105
Defensive Rebounds per Game	33.0	#21	35.0	#6
Total Rebounds per Game	52.5	#9	50.0	#18
Offensive Rebounding %	42.9%	#55	40.5%	#82
Defensive Rebounding %	76.7%	#53	67.3%	#205
Total Rebounding % (Rebound Rate)	59.3%	#48	56.2%	#95
Blocks per Game	9.0	#2	7.0	#12
Steals per Game	13.5	#55	16.5	#28
Block %	14.8%	#2	10.8%	#28
Steals per Possession	16.1%	#88	20.1%	#38
Steals per Defensive Play	14.4%	#81	16.6%	#47
Assists per Game	21.0	#23	17.5	#71
Turnovers per Game	15.0	#133	18.5	#249
Turnovers per Possession	17.9%	#72	22.8%	#201
Assist / Turnover Ratio	1.400	#44	0.946	#152
Assists per FGM	0.636	#67	0.486	#267
Assists per Possession	25.1%	#53	21.5%	#118
Turnovers per Offensive Play	14.5%	#54	19.2%	#204
Personal Fouls per Game	19.0	#236	16.0	#99
Personal Fouls per Possession	22.7%	#141	19.5%	#43
Personal Fouls per Defensive Play	20.3%	#164	16.1%	#27
Opponent Points per Game	57.0	#123	47.5	#45
Opponent Average Scoring Margin	-39.5	#27	-43.5	#20
Defensive Efficiency	0.680	#69	0.579	#19
Opponent Floor %	31.0%	#64	27.6%	#23
Opponent 1st Half Points per Game	32.5	#232	27.0	#120
Opponent 2nd Half Points per Game	24.5	#54	20.5	#14
Opponent Overtime Points per Game	0.0	#1	0.0	#1
Opponent Points from 2 Pointers	28.0	#96	28.0	#96
Opponent Points from 3 Pointers	15.0	#128	10.5	#40
Opponent Percent of Points from 2 Pointers	49.1%	#106	58.9%	#276
Opponent Percent of Points from 3 Pointers	26.3%	#172	22.1%	#100
Opponent Percent of Points from Free Throws	24.6%	#294	18.9%	#186
Opponent Shooting %	31.1%	#51	26.9%	#17
Opponent Effective Field Goal %	35.2%	#54	29.6%	#12
Opponent Three Point %	20.8%	#46	13.0%	#6
Opponent Two Point %	37.8%	#88	36.8%	#77
Opponent Free Throw %	75.7%	#284	56.2%	#30
Opponent True Shooting %	40.8%	#76	32.7%	#10
Opponent Field Goals Made per Game	19.0	#92	17.5	#66
Opponent Field Goals Attempted per Game	61.0	#234	65.0	#295
Opponent Three Pointers Made per Game	5.0	#128	3.5	#40
Opponent Three Pointers Attempted per Game	24.0	#277	27.0	#333
Opponent Free Throws Made per Game	14.0	#246	9.0	#74
Opponent Free Throws Attempted per Game	18.5	#209	16.0	#135
Opponent Three Point Rate	39.3%	#268	41.5%	#297
Opponent Two Point Rate	60.7%	#96	58.5%	#67
Opponent Free Throws Attempted per Field Goal Attempted	0.303	#194	0.246	#107
Opponent Free Throws Made per 100 Possessions	16.7	#199	11.0	#55
Opponent Free Throws Attempted per Offensive Play	19.7%	#157	16.1%	#92
Opponent Non-blocked 2 Pt %	50.0%	#201	45.2%	#129
Opponent Offensive Rebounds per Game	10.0	#95	17.0	#326
Opponent Defensive Rebounds per Game	26.0	#226	22.0	#93
Opponent Total Rebounds per Game	36.0	#168	39.0	#242
Opponent Offensive Rebounding %	23.3%	#53	32.7%	#205
Opponent Defensive Rebounding %	57.1%	#55	59.5%	#82
Opponent Blocks per Game	2.0	#69	2.5	#122
Opponent Steals per Game	6.5	#89	7.0	#114
Opponent Block %	2.7%	#58	3.6%	#98
Opponent Steals per Possession	7.8%	#59	8.6%	#87
Opponent Steals per Defensive Play	6.3%	#52	7.3%	#83
Opponent Assists per Game	11.5	#158	6.0	#16
Opponent Turnovers per Game	24.0	#53	26.5	#34
Opponent Turnovers per Possession	28.6%	#104	32.3%	#51
Opponent Assist / Turnover Ratio	0.479	#101	0.226	#14
Opponent Assists per FGM	0.605	#276	0.343	#15
Opponent Assists per Possession	13.7%	#111	7.3%	#14
Opponent Turnovers per Offensive Play	25.6%	#94	26.7%	#77
Opponent Personal Fouls per Game	20.5	#85	18.5	#171
Opponent Personal Fouls per Possession	24.5%	#188	22.8%	#253
Opponent Personal Fouls per Defensive Play	19.8%	#232	19.2%	#252
Games Played	2	#184	2	#184
Possessions per Game	83.8	#23	81.3	#41
Extra Scoring Chances per Game	+18.5	#33	+6.0	#146
Effective Possession Ratio	1.054	#42	0.957	#183
Opponent Effective Possession Ratio	0.833	#73	0.884	#136
Win % - All Games	100.0%	#1	100.0%	#1
Win % - Close Games	--	--	--	--

Efficiency Stats

Stat	TROY	Rank	MSST	Rank
Offensive Efficiency	1.152	#44	1.119	#62
Defensive Efficiency	0.680	#69	0.579	#19
Possessions per Game	83.8	#23	81.3	#41
Effective Field Goal %	50.7%	#97	57.2%	#28
Opponent Effective Field Goal %	35.2%	#54	29.6%	#12
Turnovers per Possession	17.9%	#72	22.8%	#201
Opponent Turnovers per Possession	28.6%	#104	32.3%	#51
Offensive Rebounding %	42.9%	#55	40.5%	#82
Defensive Rebounding %	76.7%	#53	67.3%	#205
Free Throws Attempted per Field Goal Attempted	0.373	#77	0.252	#267
Opponent Free Throws Attempted per Field Goal Attempted	0.303	#194	0.246	#107
True Shooting %	54.6%	#83	58.5%	#33
Effective Possession Ratio	1.054	#42	0.957	#183

Stat Splits

Stat	TROY Season	Last 3	Home	Away	MSST Season	Last 3	Home	Away
Points per Game	96.5	96.5	104.0	89.0	91.0	91.0	68.0	114.0
Opponent Points per Game	57.0	57.0	36.0	78.0	47.5	47.5	27.0	68.0
Average Scoring Margin	+39.5	+39.5	+68.0	+11.0	+43.5	+43.5	+41.0	+46.0
Offensive Efficiency	1.152	1.152	1.268	1.040	1.119	1.119	0.943	1.260
Defensive Efficiency	0.680	0.680	0.435	0.921	0.579	0.579	0.369	0.746
Effective Field Goal %	50.7%	50.7%	48.1%	53.6%	57.2%	57.2%	45.3%	67.3%
Three Point %	31.2%	31.2%	25.0%	39.3%	36.6%	36.6%	21.1%	50.0%
Turnovers per Possession	17.9%	17.9%	14.6%	21.0%	22.8%	22.8%	25.0%	21.0%
Offensive Rebounding %	42.9%	42.9%	53.8%	28.2%	40.5%	40.5%	43.6%	37.1%

Rosters & Stats

Troy Trojans

Player	Pos	GP	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO
Hannah Smith	G	2	21.5	19.0	6.5	0.5	3.5	0.0	1.0
Aniya Hubbard	G	2	26.5	15.0	5.0	1.0	0.0	2.0	1.5
Tiauna King	G	2	25.0	13.0	6.5	4.0	1.0	0.0	0.5
Saniya Jackson	G	2	24.5	12.0	5.5	6.0	3.5	1.0	4.0
Kimora Hughes	G	2	13.5	10.0	1.5	1.5	0.5	1.5	0.5
Shakirah Edwards	G	2	18.0	7.0	3.5	4.5	3.0	1.0	1.5
Jamonica Chambers	F	2	16.0	6.5	6.0	1.0	1.0	0.0	0.5
Riana Callihan	F	2	8.5	5.0	3.0	0.0	0.0	0.5	0.5
Maliyah Meeks	F	2	18.0	4.0	4.5	0.5	0.0	1.0	1.0
Tayla Barros	G	2	12.0	2.0	2.0	0.5	0.5	0.5	1.0
Taliah Martin	F	2	7.0	2.0	1.5	0.0	0.5	1.0	1.0
Detavia Salter	F	2	9.5	1.0	3.0	1.5	0.0	0.5	1.5

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player	Pos	GP	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO
Favour Nwaedozi	F	2	20.5	17.5	12.5	0.5	0.5	1.5	3.0
Tootie Lockett	G	2	21.5	11.5	3.0	1.0	1.0	0.0	1.0
Reese Beaty	G	2	27.0	10.5	0.5	7.5	2.0	0.0	1.5
Madison Francis	F	2	21.5	9.5	8.5	2.5	1.5	2.5	2.5
Cali Smallwood	G	2	19.5	8.5	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.0	0.0
Aryss Macktoon	G	2	13.0	7.5	2.5	0.5	2.5	1.0	1.5
Macie Phifer	G	2	22.5	6.5	4.5	0.5	1.5	0.5	1.5
Melissa Guillet	G	2	14.5	5.0	2.5	2.0	1.0	0.0	1.0
Lani Smallwood	G	2	12.5	5.0	3.0	1.0	3.0	0.0	1.5
Grace Ndubueze	F	2	13.0	5.0	5.0	0.0	2.0	1.5	1.5
Ludovica Sammartino	F	2	10.0	3.0	3.0	1.5	1.0	0.0	3.0
Andrea Flores	G	2	4.0	1.5	0.0	0.0	0.5	0.0	0.5
Arianny Francisco de Oliveira	F	1	1.0	0.0	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Records & Results

Situational Trends

Situation	TROY W-L	Avg Margin	MSST W-L	Avg Margin
All Games	2-0	+39.5	2-0	+43.5
As Home Team	1-0	+68.0	1-0	+41.0
As Away Team	1-0	+11.0	1-0	+46.0
At Neutral Site	0-0	--	0-0	--
Against Ranked Opponents	0-0	--	0-0	--
After A Win	1-0	+68.0	1-0	+46.0
After A Loss	0-0	--	0-0	--
Conference Games	0-0	--	0-0	--
Non-Conference Games	2-0	+39.5	2-0	+43.5
1 Day Off or Less	0-0	--	0-0	--
2-3 Days Off	1-0	+68.0	0-0	--
4+ Days Off	0-0	--	1-0	+46.0
Close Games (5 or fewer)	0-0	--	0-0	--
Last 5 Games	2-0	+39.5	2-0	+43.5
Last 10 Games	2-0	+39.5	2-0	+43.5

Against-the-spread and over/under records start once lines are collected.

Dual Game Log

Troy Trojans

Date	Opponent	Result	Margin	Off Eff	Def Eff
Nov 2	at #188 Kent State	W 89-78	+11	1.040	0.921
Nov 5	Non-D-I opponent	W 104-36	+68	1.268	0.435

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Date	Opponent	Result	Margin	Off Eff	Def Eff
Nov 3	#231 North Alabama	W 68-27	+41	0.943	0.369
Nov 8	at #266 UT Martin	W 114-68	+46	1.260	0.746

Head to Head

Date	Game	Result
Dec 18, 2021	Troy at Mississippi St	Troy 73-66

Common Opponents

No common opponents yet this season.