Sacramento St at Buffalo: Matchup

Thursday Nov 12, 2026 6:00 PM ET · Broadview Arena, Buffalo, NY
Odds: not collected yet · Rating projection: Sacramento St by 8.3 (79% to win)

General Info Odds Ratings & Stats Records & Results More games from Nov 12

General Info

Overview

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat	SAC	BUF
Points per Game	73.0	72.0
Average Scoring Margin	+15.3	-11.5
Assists per Game	13.3	18.0
Total Rebounds per Game	39.0	40.0
Effective Field Goal %	48.3%	56.3%
Offensive Rebounding %	34.3%	29.6%
Free Throws Attempted per Field Goal Attempted	0.382	0.359
Turnovers per Possession	21.4%	34.5%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat	SAC	BUF
Opponent Points per Game	57.7	83.5
Opponent Effective Field Goal %	40.7%	51.8%
Offensive Rebounds per Game	11.7	8.0
Defensive Rebounds per Game	27.3	32.0
Blocks per Game	3.0	4.5
Steals per Game	10.3	6.0
Personal Fouls per Game	17.7	20.0

Travel Analysis and Injury Report

Not available yet. Travel distance needs arena locations, and there is no free injury feed for the women's game.

Odds

Point Spread, Over/Under and Money Line

Lines and line movement appear here once the Odds API key is added to the repo. Betting picks are intentionally left out.

Ratings & Stats

Power Ratings

	SAC	BUF
Predictive Rating	+0.1	-10.9
Power Rank	#167	#323
Strength of Schedule (played)	-4.7	-2.3
SOS Rank	267	234
Future SOS	-3.5	-0.5
Record	3-0	1-1
Win Probability	79%	21%

Home advantage in the projection: +2.7 points.

Matchup Stats

Stat	SAC	Rank	BUF	Rank
Points per Game	73.0	#156	72.0	#161
Average Scoring Margin	+15.3	#133	-11.5	#292
Offensive Efficiency	1.017	#127	0.902	#231
Floor %	46.5%	#128	42.6%	#215
1st Half Points per Game	40.3	#78	36.0	#137
2nd Half Points per Game	32.7	#253	36.0	#179
Overtime Points per Game	0.0	#15	0.0	#15
Average 1st Half Margin	+10.0	#111	+2.0	#211
Average 2nd Half Margin	+5.3	#154	-13.5	#336
Average Overtime Margin	--	--	--	--
Points from 2 Pointers	38.7	#169	46.0	#68
Points from 3 Pointers	17.0	#210	12.0	#310
Percent of Points from 2 Pointers	53.0%	#209	63.9%	#43
Percent of Points from 3 Pointers	23.3%	#248	16.7%	#329
Percent of Points from Free Throws	23.7%	#51	19.4%	#140
Shooting %	43.4%	#140	52.4%	#15
Effective Field Goal %	48.3%	#153	56.3%	#33
Three Point %	26.6%	#247	33.3%	#98
Two Point %	53.2%	#88	58.2%	#26
Free Throw %	78.8%	#43	75.7%	#82
True Shooting %	53.6%	#106	59.7%	#27
Field Goals Made per Game	25.0	#183	27.0	#136
Field Goals Attempted per Game	57.7	#254	51.5	#330
Three Pointers Made per Game	5.7	#210	4.0	#310
Three Pointers Attempted per Game	21.3	#181	12.0	#353
Free Throws Made per Game	17.3	#53	14.0	#136
Free Throws Attempted per Game	22.0	#89	18.5	#181
Three Point Rate	37.0%	#135	23.3%	#345
Two Point Rate	63.0%	#229	76.7%	#19
Free Throws Attempted per Field Goal Attempted	0.382	#71	0.359	#94
Free Throws Made per 100 Possessions	24.1	#36	17.5	#176
Free Throws Attempted per Offensive Play	26.4%	#66	21.1%	#182
Non-blocked 2 Pt %	55.8%	#116	61.3%	#36
Offensive Rebounds per Game	11.7	#234	8.0	#330
Defensive Rebounds per Game	27.3	#127	32.0	#36
Total Rebounds per Game	39.0	#186	40.0	#156
Offensive Rebounding %	34.3%	#194	29.6%	#266
Defensive Rebounding %	68.9%	#181	83.1%	#9
Total Rebounding % (Rebound Rate)	52.9%	#151	61.1%	#26
Blocks per Game	3.0	#192	4.5	#81
Steals per Game	10.3	#148	6.0	#313
Block %	5.2%	#201	6.5%	#136
Steals per Possession	14.3%	#136	7.4%	#334
Steals per Defensive Play	12.2%	#140	6.9%	#322
Assists per Game	13.3	#207	18.0	#56
Turnovers per Game	15.3	#143	27.5	#354
Turnovers per Possession	21.4%	#162	34.5%	#349
Assist / Turnover Ratio	0.870	#177	0.655	#257
Assists per FGM	0.533	#208	0.667	#42
Assists per Possession	18.6%	#199	22.6%	#97
Turnovers per Offensive Play	18.4%	#176	31.3%	#350
Personal Fouls per Game	17.7	#181	20.0	#259
Personal Fouls per Possession	24.5%	#193	24.7%	#205
Personal Fouls per Defensive Play	20.9%	#186	22.9%	#265
Opponent Points per Game	57.7	#127	83.5	#339
Opponent Average Scoring Margin	-15.3	#133	+11.5	#292
Defensive Efficiency	0.799	#135	1.033	#315
Opponent Floor %	37.2%	#139	47.8%	#324
Opponent 1st Half Points per Game	30.3	#180	34.0	#251
Opponent 2nd Half Points per Game	27.3	#84	49.5	#357
Opponent Overtime Points per Game	0.0	#1	0.0	#1
Opponent Points from 2 Pointers	30.7	#148	52.0	#353
Opponent Points from 3 Pointers	16.0	#156	19.5	#237
Opponent Percent of Points from 2 Pointers	53.2%	#184	62.3%	#314
Opponent Percent of Points from 3 Pointers	27.7%	#200	23.4%	#115
Opponent Percent of Points from Free Throws	19.1%	#190	14.4%	#70
Opponent Shooting %	36.0%	#139	47.1%	#329
Opponent Effective Field Goal %	40.7%	#139	51.8%	#316
Opponent Three Point %	29.1%	#211	28.3%	#193
Opponent Two Point %	39.3%	#110	56.5%	#347
Opponent Free Throw %	58.9%	#45	72.7%	#251
Opponent True Shooting %	43.6%	#121	54.3%	#310
Opponent Field Goals Made per Game	20.7	#134	32.5	#353
Opponent Field Goals Attempted per Game	57.3	#157	69.0	#338
Opponent Three Pointers Made per Game	5.3	#156	6.5	#237
Opponent Three Pointers Attempted per Game	18.3	#122	23.0	#250
Opponent Free Throws Made per Game	11.0	#133	12.0	#183
Opponent Free Throws Attempted per Game	18.7	#214	16.5	#153
Opponent Three Point Rate	32.0%	#124	33.3%	#152
Opponent Two Point Rate	68.0%	#240	66.7%	#207
Opponent Free Throws Attempted per Field Goal Attempted	0.326	#219	0.239	#95
Opponent Free Throws Made per 100 Possessions	15.2	#157	14.8	#139
Opponent Free Throws Attempted per Offensive Play	22.1%	#226	18.9%	#140
Opponent Non-blocked 2 Pt %	42.6%	#93	62.7%	#354
Opponent Offensive Rebounds per Game	12.3	#210	6.5	#12
Opponent Defensive Rebounds per Game	22.3	#103	19.0	#30
Opponent Total Rebounds per Game	34.7	#134	25.5	#13
Opponent Offensive Rebounding %	31.1%	#181	16.9%	#9
Opponent Defensive Rebounding %	65.7%	#194	70.4%	#266
Opponent Blocks per Game	1.7	#55	2.0	#69
Opponent Steals per Game	8.0	#164	16.5	#358
Opponent Block %	2.9%	#65	3.9%	#120
Opponent Steals per Possession	11.1%	#186	20.7%	#354
Opponent Steals per Defensive Play	9.6%	#196	18.8%	#356
Opponent Assists per Game	10.3	#116	17.5	#332
Opponent Turnovers per Game	18.3	#176	10.5	#348
Opponent Turnovers per Possession	25.4%	#165	13.0%	#357
Opponent Assist / Turnover Ratio	0.564	#145	1.667	#352
Opponent Assists per FGM	0.500	#116	0.538	#177
Opponent Assists per Possession	14.3%	#124	21.6%	#308
Opponent Turnovers per Offensive Play	21.7%	#172	12.0%	#352
Opponent Personal Fouls per Game	23.3	#34	19.5	#123
Opponent Personal Fouls per Possession	32.5%	#20	24.4%	#189
Opponent Personal Fouls per Defensive Play	28.0%	#13	22.2%	#132
Games Played	3	#4	2	#184
Possessions per Game	71.8	#221	79.8	#59
Extra Scoring Chances per Game	+2.3	#208	-15.5	#343
Effective Possession Ratio	0.949	#202	0.756	#354
Opponent Effective Possession Ratio	0.917	#189	0.951	#256
Win % - All Games	100.0%	#1	50.0%	#176
Win % - Close Games	--	--	100.0%	#1

Efficiency Stats

Stat	SAC	Rank	BUF	Rank
Offensive Efficiency	1.017	#127	0.902	#231
Defensive Efficiency	0.799	#135	1.033	#315
Possessions per Game	71.8	#221	79.8	#59
Effective Field Goal %	48.3%	#153	56.3%	#33
Opponent Effective Field Goal %	40.7%	#139	51.8%	#316
Turnovers per Possession	21.4%	#162	34.5%	#349
Opponent Turnovers per Possession	25.4%	#165	13.0%	#357
Offensive Rebounding %	34.3%	#194	29.6%	#266
Defensive Rebounding %	68.9%	#181	83.1%	#9
Free Throws Attempted per Field Goal Attempted	0.382	#71	0.359	#94
Opponent Free Throws Attempted per Field Goal Attempted	0.326	#219	0.239	#95
True Shooting %	53.6%	#106	59.7%	#27
Effective Possession Ratio	0.949	#202	0.756	#354

Stat Splits

Stat	SAC Season	Last 3	Home	Away	BUF Season	Last 3	Home	Away
Points per Game	73.0	73.0	82.0	68.5	72.0	72.0	82.0	62.0
Opponent Points per Game	57.7	57.7	52.0	60.5	83.5	83.5	81.0	86.0
Average Scoring Margin	+15.3	+15.3	+30.0	+8.0	-11.5	-11.5	+1.0	-24.0
Offensive Efficiency	1.017	1.017	1.066	0.990	0.902	0.902	1.045	0.765
Defensive Efficiency	0.799	0.799	0.688	0.858	1.033	1.033	1.050	1.018
Effective Field Goal %	48.3%	48.3%	50.8%	46.8%	56.3%	56.3%	64.2%	48.0%
Three Point %	26.6%	26.6%	31.6%	24.4%	33.3%	33.3%	30.8%	36.4%
Turnovers per Possession	21.4%	21.4%	19.5%	22.4%	34.5%	34.5%	31.8%	37.0%
Offensive Rebounding %	34.3%	34.3%	34.3%	34.3%	29.6%	29.6%	34.6%	25.0%

Rosters & Stats

Sacramento State Hornets

Player	Pos	GP	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO
Koko Akridge	G	3	33.7	18.3	2.3	2.3	1.0	0.3	2.7
Natalie Picton	G	3	33.7	16.0	3.3	4.0	2.7	0.0	3.3
Alexis Hess	F	3	18.0	9.3	2.3	3.0	1.7	0.3	0.7
Achol Magot	C	3	8.7	9.0	3.7	0.3	0.3	0.7	1.7
Elizabeth Abiara	F	3	20.3	5.7	5.3	0.3	0.7	0.7	1.0
Jenessa Cotton	F	3	16.0	4.7	5.3	0.0	0.3	0.0	1.7
Jelena Savic	G	3	26.3	4.3	4.3	1.7	0.7	0.0	1.0
Tali Fa'i	G	3	19.3	2.7	2.3	1.0	3.0	0.3	1.3
Ajong Lual	C	3	9.7	2.0	1.3	0.0	0.0	0.3	1.0
Jordan Barlow	G	3	5.0	0.7	0.3	0.7	0.0	0.3	0.0
Jaety Mandaquit	G	2	12.0	0.5	2.5	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Jeniece Harmon	G	1	4.0	0.0	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Buffalo Bulls

Player	Pos	GP	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO
Ava LaMonica	G	2	27.5	17.0	3.0	1.5	0.5	0.0	6.0
Asia Wilson	G	2	33.0	14.5	5.0	7.0	1.5	0.5	4.5
Ella Corry	G	2	25.5	11.0	2.5	1.5	0.0	0.0	1.5
Meg Lucas	F	2	35.5	10.5	12.0	3.5	1.5	0.5	4.0
Jadeah Marshall	C	2	15.5	7.0	3.0	0.0	1.0	2.5	2.5
Ella Wickstrom	G	2	16.5	3.5	1.0	1.0	0.0	0.0	1.5
Layla Hearne	G	1	22.0	6.0	2.0	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Briana Young	G	2	22.5	2.5	4.0	2.5	1.5	0.0	2.5
Diann Jackson	F	1	17.0	4.0	5.0	1.0	0.0	2.0	6.0
Oyinkansola Soetan	F	1	6.0	2.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.0
Kyleigh Hall	F	1	3.0	0.0	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Records & Results

Situational Trends

Situation	SAC W-L	Avg Margin	BUF W-L	Avg Margin
All Games	3-0	+15.3	1-1	-11.5
As Home Team	1-0	+30.0	1-0	+1.0
As Away Team	2-0	+8.0	0-1	-24.0
At Neutral Site	0-0	--	0-0	--
Against Ranked Opponents	0-0	--	0-0	--
After A Win	2-0	+20.0	0-1	-24.0
After A Loss	0-0	--	0-0	--
Conference Games	0-0	--	0-0	--
Non-Conference Games	3-0	+15.3	1-1	-11.5
1 Day Off or Less	1-0	+30.0	0-0	--
2-3 Days Off	1-0	+10.0	0-0	--
4+ Days Off	0-0	--	0-1	-24.0
Close Games (5 or fewer)	0-0	--	1-0	+1.0
Last 5 Games	3-0	+15.3	1-1	-11.5
Last 10 Games	3-0	+15.3	1-1	-11.5

Against-the-spread and over/under records start once lines are collected.

Dual Game Log

Sacramento State Hornets

Date	Opponent	Result	Margin	Off Eff	Def Eff
Nov 3	at #206 UT Arlington	W 67-61	+6	0.960	0.861
Nov 7	at #262 Nevada	W 70-60	+10	1.020	0.856
Nov 9	Non-D-I opponent	W 82-52	+30	1.066	0.688

Buffalo Bulls

Date	Opponent	Result	Margin	Off Eff	Def Eff
Nov 2	#274 Georgia St	W 82-81	+1	1.045	1.050
Nov 7	at #124 Youngstown St	L 62-86	-24	0.765	1.018

Head to Head

No meetings since 2021-22.

Common Opponents

No common opponents yet this season.